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闫瑞祥:黄金早盘弱势下破日线支撑,早盘高点成关键
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-05-29 03:52

Macroeconomic Overview - The U.S. International Trade Court ruled that the Trump administration's "Liberation Day" tariff policy exceeded its authority, suspending its implementation, which indicates that presidential trade management powers cannot surpass those granted to Congress by the Constitution [1] - This lawsuit, initiated by five small import businesses, marks the first significant legal challenge against the tariff policy, with seven similar lawsuits ongoing [1] - The ruling has alleviated market concerns regarding the trade war, leading to an increase in U.S. stock index futures, with the Nasdaq futures rising by 1.8% [1] - The U.S. dollar index surpassed the 100 mark, following Trump's postponement of tariffs on the EU and an agreement with China to reduce tariffs, which eased economic pessimism [1] - The Federal Reserve's May meeting minutes revealed officials are facing a "difficult trade-off" between rising inflation and unemployment, with a 60% probability of a rate cut in September [1] - Despite gold prices rising by 26% this year, the Fed's cautious stance has suppressed gold prices [1] - Investors are focused on upcoming GDP, PCE data, and fiscal policy developments, following consumer confidence data that exceeded expectations, reinforcing economic stability [1] Gold Market Analysis - On Wednesday, gold prices showed a downward trend, peaking at 3325 and dropping to a low of 3276.48, closing at 3288.35 [2] - The price experienced short-term fluctuations in the morning, testing key resistance levels before facing downward pressure, resulting in a bearish closing [2] - Monthly analysis indicates a correction after three months of price increases, with a four-month upward trend now facing a single-month correction [3] - Weekly analysis shows gold prices supported at the 3160 level, suggesting a continued bullish outlook unless the weekly support is broken [3] - Daily analysis indicates a support level at 3270, with a bearish outlook following a breach of this support [3] - Short-term analysis highlights resistance at the 3295 level, with a cautious approach recommended for further price movements [3] - A trading strategy suggests a short position in the 3294-3295 range, with a stop loss of 10 USD and a target between 3245-3210 [5]