对等关税被美国法院叫停，对华加征关税将终止？大概率还是加30%

Group 1 - The recent ruling by the U.S. International Trade Court has blocked the "reciprocal tariffs" imposed by the Trump administration, indicating a significant check on the government's tariff policies [1][3]. - The initial round of tariffs against China, initiated in 2018, has established a legal framework that is unlikely to change in the short term, with a focus on the newly introduced tariffs this year [3][5]. - The "Fentanyl Tariff," which imposes a 20% tariff on Chinese goods, remains unaffected by the court's ruling, while the 10% "reciprocal tariff" is currently frozen but not entirely canceled [5][8]. Group 2 - The Trump administration has initiated an appeal against the court's decision, which may eventually reach the Supreme Court, where a conservative majority could potentially overturn the lower court's ruling [5][6]. - Even if the "reciprocal tariff" is deemed illegal, the Trump administration may find alternative justifications to impose tariffs, as demonstrated by the strategic use of the "Fentanyl Tariff" [8]. - The ongoing trade tensions necessitate a robust response strategy, including utilizing WTO dispute resolution mechanisms and enhancing domestic supply-side reforms to stabilize the economy [10].