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智氪 | 医药基金要回本了?
3 6 Ke·2025-05-29 09:26

Group 1 - The pharmaceutical sector in A-shares has experienced a prolonged bear market lasting over three years, with the Shenwan Pharmaceutical and Biological Index declining by 54% during this period [1] - Approximately two-thirds of the existing 600 pharmaceutical funds have a net value below 1 as of May 28, 2023, with the lowest at 0.35 [1] - However, more than half of the pharmaceutical funds achieved positive returns in 2025, with top performers yielding between 47% and 56% [1][2] Group 2 - The core factors driving the recovery of pharmaceutical funds include marginal improvements in the pharmaceutical sector's performance, despite ongoing revenue and profit declines [2][5] - The pharmaceutical sector's revenue is projected to decrease by 0.5% in 2024, with net profit expected to drop by 11% [2] - The overall performance of the pharmaceutical sector showed signs of stabilization in Q1 2025, with a revenue decline of 3.4% and a net profit decrease of 4% [2][5] Group 3 - The pharmaceutical sector's valuation has reached historical lows, making it attractive for investors, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 29x at the beginning of the year [5] - The Shenwan Pharmaceutical and Biological Index has increased by 3.76% from the beginning of the year to May 28, 2023, with notable fluctuations in its performance [6][8] - The recovery in the pharmaceutical sector is driven by investor expectations of stabilization, supported by the release of quarterly reports [8] Group 4 - Innovative drugs are currently the main source of alpha in the pharmaceutical sector, with top-performing funds achieving returns exceeding 40% through active stock selection [9][12] - The top holdings of the Zhongyin Great Health A fund include several leading innovative pharmaceutical companies, all of which saw significant price increases in Q1 2025 [10][12] - The long-term investment strategy of the Zhongyin Great Health A fund focuses on domestic innovative drugs, despite the sector's previous downturn [12] Group 5 - The pharmaceutical sector is expected to benefit from favorable policies supporting innovation, with the domestic innovative drug market entering a harvest phase [18] - The chemical pharmaceutical sub-sector has outperformed due to the market entry of innovative drugs and favorable policy expectations [14][17] - The performance of various pharmaceutical sub-sectors has shown significant differentiation, with innovative drugs presenting clearer investment opportunities [17][19]