二价HPV受重创！万泰生物疫苗量价齐跌，押注九价或成最后底牌

Core Viewpoint - Wantaibio is experiencing a significant decline in performance, attributed mainly to a sharp drop in its vaccine business, marking the most severe downturn in its history since going public [2][3][4]. Financial Performance - In 2024, Wantaibio's revenue was 2.245 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 59.25%, following a revenue of 5.511 billion yuan in 2023, which was down 50.73% [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders in 2024 was 106 million yuan, down 91.49%, the lowest since the company was listed; the net profit after excluding non-recurring gains and losses was -186 million yuan, a decline of 117.29% [3]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported approximately 400 million yuan in revenue, a year-on-year decrease of 46.76%, with a net profit of -52.78 million yuan, a significant drop of 141.98% compared to a profit of 126 million yuan in the same period last year [4]. Vaccine Business Decline - The vaccine segment's revenue plummeted over 80%, with 2024 vaccine revenue at 606 million yuan, down 84.69% from 4.111 billion yuan the previous year [5]. - The production volume of vaccines in 2024 was 10.59 million doses, a decrease of 64.66%, while sales volume was 9.0492 million doses, down 42.4% [5]. - The market for HPV vaccines is facing intense competition, particularly from Watson Biotech and Merck's nine-valent HPV vaccine, which has further pressured Wantaibio's market share [6][9]. Future Prospects - Wantaibio is heavily investing in the development of its nine-valent HPV vaccine, with total R&D expenditures reaching 283 million yuan in 2024, accounting for 12.65% of its revenue [7]. - The company has committed 590 million yuan to the second-phase expansion of the nine-valent HPV vaccine project, which is 47% of the total project cost [7]. - Despite the challenges, Wantaibio aims to leverage the nine-valent HPV vaccine as a flagship product while expanding its portfolio of high-value vaccines to meet market demands [7][8].