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机器人“孝子”解养老困局:技术路径已明,非人形态先行

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential of humanoid robots in addressing the growing elderly care needs in the context of an aging population, highlighting advancements in technology and the evolving landscape of the robotics industry [1][3][20]. Industry Overview - The aging population in China is rapidly increasing, with projections indicating that by the end of 2024, there will be 310 million people aged 60 and above, accounting for 22% of the total population [3][20]. - The concept of "elderly care robots" encompasses various forms of robots, including exoskeletons and humanoid robots, with a particular focus on humanoid robots in popular perception [4][21]. Technological Advancements - Recent breakthroughs in robotics include improvements in bionic joints, motion control algorithms, and cognitive decision-making frameworks, which are essential for the development of humanoid robots [1][6]. - The introduction of international standards for elderly care robots aims to guide the design, manufacturing, testing, and certification processes, promoting healthy industry development [7][9]. Market Dynamics - The market for humanoid robots is expected to grow significantly, with estimates suggesting that by 2035, the global market could reach $38 billion, and in China, the market could expand to 500 billion yuan [20][24]. - The current pricing of humanoid robots ranges from approximately 99,000 yuan to 199,000 yuan, with expectations that prices will decrease as technology matures [14][17]. Future Outlook - Experts predict that humanoid robots capable of providing companionship and care for the elderly may enter households within the next three to ten years, although some believe it could take longer [18][21]. - The industry is witnessing a shift towards consumer markets, with companies exploring opportunities in home care and rehabilitation, indicating a potential for growth in the elderly care robotics sector [22][23].