AbbVie Stock Down Around 13% in 3 Months: Time to Buy the Dip?

Core Viewpoint - AbbVie is navigating challenges from the loss of exclusivity of its blockbuster drug Humira, but it is successfully replacing its revenue with new drugs Skyrizi and Rinvoq, which are showing strong sales growth and have a promising pipeline ahead [4][10][20]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Market Conditions - AbbVie stock has declined 12.6% over the past three months and is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, largely due to broader macroeconomic uncertainties [1] - The U.S. and China have imposed high tariffs that have negatively impacted global stock markets, although these tariffs are currently on pause, the uncertainty remains [2] - AbbVie has outperformed the industry and the S&P 500 index, gaining 5% so far this year compared to a 3% decrease for the industry [12][14] Group 2: Product Performance - AbbVie lost patent protection for Humira, leading to a significant decline in its sales, which dropped almost 50% in Q1 2025 due to biosimilar competition [4][10] - Skyrizi and Rinvoq generated combined sales of $5.1 billion in Q1 2025, reflecting over 65$24.7 billion in 2025 and over $31 billion by 2027, driven by market share gains and new indications [6] Group 3: Pipeline and Acquisitions - AbbVie has a robust pipeline with several early/mid-stage candidates that have blockbuster potential, expecting multiple regulatory submissions and approvals in the next 12 months [7] - The company has been active in acquisitions, signing over 20 early-stage deals since early 2024, enhancing its pipeline in immunology, oncology, and neuroscience [9] - AbbVie is entering the obesity treatment market with the acquisition of rights to develop GUB014295, marking its expansion into a new therapeutic area [9] Group 4: Future Outlook - AbbVie anticipates a return to robust revenue growth in 2025, driven by its ex-Humira platform, which saw over 21% sales growth in Q1 2025 [20] - The company expects mid-single-digit revenue growth in 2025 with a high single-digit CAGR through 2029, supported by strong performances from Skyrizi and Rinvoq [21] - Rising earnings estimates and a solid pipeline provide a favorable outlook for AbbVie, making it a stock to consider for long-term investment [22]