Core Viewpoint - CICC maintains the earnings forecast for CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (01093) for 2025 and 2026, with a target price increase of 26.5% to HKD 8.60, indicating a potential upside of 12.9% from the current stock price [1] Financial Performance - The company reported Q1 2025 results: revenue of CNY 7.015 billion (including BD revenue of CNY 718 million), down 21.9% YoY, but up 10.9% QoQ; net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 1.478 billion (down 8.4% YoY, up 168.7% QoQ), and core net profit was CNY 1.411 billion (down 18.2% YoY, up 106.2% QoQ), aligning with CICC's expectations [2] Business Segment Analysis - Q1 2025 finished drug business faced pressure, with revenue of CNY 5.500 billion (down 27.3% YoY); specific segments included: CNS revenue CNY 1.908 billion (down 29.5% YoY), oncology CNY 552 million (down 65.7% YoY), anti-infection CNY 922 million (down 31.8% YoY), cardiovascular CNY 411 million (down 42.9% YoY), respiratory CNY 326 million (down 30.3% YoY), digestive metabolism CNY 299 million (down 4.7% YoY), and other finished drug products CNY 364 million (down 6.8% YoY); raw material drug revenue for Vitamin C was CNY 608 million (up 25.0% YoY) [3] Cost and Profitability Metrics - The company achieved a gross margin of 67.1% in Q1 2025 (down 5.2 percentage points YoY); the sales expense ratio improved to 23.7% (down 9.3 percentage points YoY), while the management expense ratio was 3.3% (down 0.4 percentage points YoY); R&D expense ratio was 23.7% (up 8.2 percentage points YoY), with expectations for annual R&D expenses to exceed CNY 5.5 billion [4] Innovation and Future Prospects - The company is optimistic about the clinical data readouts for key innovative products and the successful execution of BD transactions; SYS6010 (EGFR ADC) is under exploration with multiple clinical trials ongoing, and the company anticipates more significant BD transactions this year to enhance shareholder returns [5]
中金：上调石药集团(01093)目标价至8.60港元 维持跑赢行业评级