中国服务贸易发展指数重磅发布，为政策研究、市场分析提供科学依据

Core Insights - The China Service Trade Development Index (CSTDI) has been officially launched, providing a comprehensive evaluation system for service trade in China, filling a significant gap in the industry [2][4] - The report forecasts a substantial growth in service exports, with a comprehensive index expected to reach 113.0% in 2024, surpassing 101.1% in 2023, marking the highest level since 2020 [2][7] Group 1: Key Features of Service Trade Development - The service export industry development index is projected to be 118.0%, indicating a significant recovery in service export scale [4] - The trade balance capability index has improved to 102.5%, reflecting enhanced capacity to balance trade deficits [4] - The knowledge-intensive service export development index is expected to reach 110.0%, showing a 1.8 percentage point increase from the previous year, highlighting the ongoing digital empowerment effect [4] Group 2: Cultural and Structural Developments - The cultural development index and structural index for service exports are projected at 231.7% and 196.0%, respectively, driven by unilateral open measures like visa exemptions [4] - The commercial logistics service export index shows signs of recovery, contributing significantly to the overall rebound in service exports [4] - The life service export development index is expected to reach 177.5%, which is 4.3 times the average growth rate of service exports during the same period, indicating enhanced service consumption supply capacity [4] Group 3: Future Outlook and Challenges - The report anticipates a growth of approximately 12% in service exports for 2025, despite potential challenges from global economic uncertainties and trade contraction risks [11] - The comprehensive index for service export development is projected to reach 111.6% in 2025, indicating a slight decline from 2024 but still reflecting a positive trend in development quality [11] - Structural challenges remain, including increased pressure on traditional service exports and a persistent trade deficit in service trade, which has not shown significant improvement [9]