空头被瞄准锁定，端午过后就扣扳机！

Core Viewpoint - The stock market is experiencing rapid fluctuations due to conflicting news, particularly regarding U.S. tariff policies and interest rate changes, creating uncertainty for investors [1] Group 1: Market Trends - The current stock market appears stagnant, but there is an underlying potential for growth, likened to a calm before a storm [1] - A significant trend is anticipated with the potential for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, which could lead to substantial changes in the financial market [1][4] Group 2: Capital Movement - The disparity in interest rates between China and the U.S. has led to a phenomenon of "carry trade," where Chinese manufacturers are holding onto their dollar earnings instead of converting them to RMB [2] - Once the U.S. lowers interest rates, it is expected that these funds will return to China, providing a significant boost to the stock market [4] Group 3: Institutional Behavior - Institutional investors are actively manipulating stock prices through tactics like "shakeout," which involves driving prices down to eliminate weak hands before accumulating shares [6][8] - The use of quantitative models is becoming more prevalent, allowing for better identification of institutional trading patterns, particularly in recognizing "institutional shakeouts" [6][8] Group 4: Market Sentiment - Despite current market declines, there is an increase in stocks being held in "lock-up zones," indicating institutional confidence and a positive outlook for future market performance [11]