美国挥出一记记王八拳，结果把自己打进了死胡同

Group 1: Tariff Policy - The U.S. tariff policy has been frequently changing since the Trump administration, creating significant uncertainty in the international trade environment [5][6] - In late 2024, the U.S. announced a sudden 25% tariff on goods from Mexico and Canada, which was quickly retracted after backlash, disrupting the North American supply chain [6][8] - In 2024, the average tariff on Chinese goods was 10%, affecting a total value of $350 billion [6][8] Group 2: Visa Restrictions - The U.S. has implemented visa restrictions targeting Chinese students, which has faced strong opposition from the academic community [10][11] - Chinese students contribute approximately $15 billion annually to the U.S. higher education system, and their potential departure could impact the U.S. tech industry's talent pool [13][10] Group 3: Fiscal Crisis - As of April 2025, the U.S. federal debt exceeded $36.2 trillion, representing 128% of GDP, with interest payments on national debt reaching $1.1 trillion in 2024 [14][18] - Moody's has warned that without structural reforms, public debt could rise to 134% of GDP by 2035, risking a downgrade in credit rating [14][18] Group 4: Global Economic Position - The U.S. is experiencing a decline in its global economic dominance, with Canada imposing retaliatory tariffs on $106 billion worth of U.S. goods and the EU targeting U.S. tech companies [19][21] - The IMF reported that the dollar's share in global foreign exchange reserves fell to 58%, the lowest since 1995, while the cross-border settlement volume of the yuan increased by 32% in 2024 [21][19] Group 5: Historical Patterns - The current trajectory of the U.S. mirrors historical patterns of declining powers, characterized by rising fiscal deficits and social division [22][23] - Public sentiment shows a decline in belief in American exceptionalism, with only 27% of young Americans supporting it, and 52% believing China's economy has surpassed that of the U.S. [23][25] Group 6: China's Strategic Response - In response to U.S. policy fluctuations, China should focus on stabilizing its industrial base, particularly in key sectors like semiconductors and AI [26][28] - China aims to enhance its technological innovation capabilities and deepen foreign investment to adapt to the changing global economic landscape [26][28]