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OPEC+重要决议前夕,对冲基金加速押注油价下跌
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen·2025-05-31 00:54

Group 1 - Hedge funds are aggressively betting on a decline in oil prices, with net short positions in Brent crude oil increasing by 16,922 contracts to 130,019 contracts, the highest level since October of the previous year [1] - The net short positions for WTI crude oil have also risen to a three-week high, indicating a bearish sentiment across the oil market [1] - Gasoline's net short positions have reached a four-week high, suggesting that investors are pessimistic about the entire oil supply chain [1] Group 2 - The upcoming OPEC+ meeting, led by Saudi Arabia, is a key catalyst for the current wave of short selling, with preliminary negotiations indicating a potential third consecutive increase in production [1] - Concerns about oversupply have intensified due to the optimistic signals regarding the U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement, which could lead to additional Iranian oil entering the market [4][5] - Analysts believe that the combination of these negative factors is driving hedge fund managers to establish significant short positions, as they perceive that current oil price levels cannot withstand the impending supply shock [6]