2025亚太清洁氢能：激发动力点“燃”未来洞察报告

Group 1 - Clean hydrogen plays a crucial role in achieving net-zero emissions in the Asia-Pacific region by 2050, particularly in high-carbon industries like steel, chemicals, and aviation [1][10][14] - The demand for hydrogen in the Asia-Pacific is projected to reach 67 million tons by 2030 and 235 million tons by 2050, with industrial sectors dominating the demand [1][11] - China and India are expected to account for 80% of the region's hydrogen demand, but domestic supply may not fully meet this demand, necessitating imports [1][11][14] Group 2 - The global hydrogen market is anticipated to reach $1.2 trillion by 2050, with the Asia-Pacific region accounting for 50% of this market [1][14] - Green hydrogen will be the primary supply form, expected to exceed 85% by 2030 and 95% by 2050, while blue hydrogen may play a transitional role [1][14] - The Asia-Pacific region will need to import 18 million tons of clean hydrogen and derivatives by 2030, increasing to 53 million tons by 2050, leading to a cross-border trade scale of $145 billion per year [1][14] Group 3 - An estimated $3.2 trillion investment is required in the hydrogen value chain over the next 25 years in the Asia-Pacific, with 52% allocated to renewable energy generation and transmission [2][25] - Australia is projected to be a major exporter, requiring over $300 billion in investments to meet regional demand [2][25] - Key factors for the development of hydrogen trade corridors include geopolitical stability, simplified foreign investment processes, and supply chain integration [2][28] Group 4 - The year 2025 is identified as a critical year for the development of clean hydrogen in the Asia-Pacific, with $44.5 billion in policy support already announced [2][38] - Challenges include inconsistent certification standards, balancing blue and green hydrogen pathways, and coordinating cross-border pricing [2][41] - The experience of Europe in promoting hydrogen applications through carbon pricing and subsidies may provide valuable insights for the Asia-Pacific region [2][45] Group 5 - China is emerging as a leader in clean hydrogen, with a production capacity expected to reach 120,000 tons per year by 2024 and over 30% of global hydrogen stations [3][49] - The cost advantage in China's clean hydrogen production is driven by abundant renewable energy resources and significant electrolyzer manufacturing capacity [3][50] - The establishment of hydrogen trading platforms in regions like Shanghai aims to facilitate certification, pricing, and market circulation of clean hydrogen [3][52]