美版知乎:就经济增长而言,哪个国家将成为下一个中国?
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-06-02 08:57

Core Viewpoint - The discussion centers around which country might become the next economic powerhouse like China, with India being a prominent candidate among various opinions expressed by users from different countries [1][3][11]. Group 1: Perspectives on India - An Indian user believes that India is only ten years behind China and could soon surpass both China and the U.S. to become the world's leading superpower, citing India's stable democracy and diversity as strengths [3]. - Another Indian user argues that while no country can replicate China's growth in the short term, India has the potential due to its vast land, large population, and entrepreneurial spirit [9]. - A Canadian user notes that India, along with Indonesia and Pakistan, has a high growth rate and a large pool of impoverished labor, which could facilitate industrialization similar to China's past [13]. Group 2: Critiques of India's Potential - A Belgian user points out significant challenges for India, including overpopulation, severe pollution, and underdeveloped infrastructure [5]. - A Chinese user raises concerns about India's ability to replicate China's achievements due to issues like land use difficulties, low savings rates, and fragmented governance [9]. - An Indian user acknowledges that China's economic growth is unprecedented and difficult to replicate, highlighting the stark difference in GDP growth between China and India over the decades [11]. Group 3: Comparisons with Other Countries - An American user asserts that no other country can match China's growth scale and speed, emphasizing China's consistent 10% growth rate over the past 30 years [5]. - Some users mention Vietnam as a potential candidate for growth but note its limitations in land and population size compared to China [15]. - A user humorously suggests South Korea as a contender, reflecting the diverse opinions on which country might emerge as the next economic leader [15].