对话王瑞平：混合动力技术将向智能化精细化持续演进

Core Viewpoint - Hybrid power technology has become a global automotive industry hotspot, with a consensus on the trends of intelligence and precision in the future development of hybrid power technology [1] Industry Position and Advantages - China's hybrid power technology has developed significantly, with domestic automakers possessing mature technical solutions. In 2022, China's hybrid vehicle sales reached 5.4 million, accounting for 45% of global hybrid sales, supported by a robust new energy industry chain [3][4] - The Chinese automotive market produces over 30 million vehicles annually, with more than 10 million being new energy vehicles, highlighting the substantial market demand for hybrid models [3] Global Market Adaptation - As Chinese automakers expand globally, understanding target market regulations and charging infrastructure is crucial. For instance, Germany's urban population density is 233 people per square kilometer, while China's is 670, facilitating faster charging station development [4] - User characteristics in different markets, such as the demand for towing in Europe, necessitate adjustments in vehicle power and torque, indicating the need for tailored approaches in hybrid vehicle development [4] Market Trends and Innovations - The Shanghai Auto Show showcased a variety of new hybrid models, primarily from domestic brands, indicating a shift towards advanced intelligent technologies in hybrid development [6] - The hybrid technology landscape is characterized by diversity and differentiation, with different vehicle types adopting various configurations to meet specific performance needs [6] Cost Efficiency and Performance Enhancement - Hybrid vehicles can achieve lower overall costs compared to pure electric vehicles by reducing battery capacity and integrating internal combustion engines with electric motors, addressing range anxiety while maintaining similar driving characteristics [8] - Future innovations in hybrid technology should focus on deep technical advancements to reduce costs and enhance performance through high-speed, high-pressure, and integrated designs [8] Methanol Fuel Development - Geely has invested over 20 years in methanol vehicle development, with nearly 40,000 methanol vehicles in the market, particularly in commercial and taxi sectors. The company has successfully integrated methanol fuel with hybrid technology [10][11] - The flexible fuel technology being developed will allow for a mix of methanol and gasoline, enhancing user choice and supporting the dual carbon goals [10][11] Policy Impact on Hybrid Technology - The transition from "dual credit" to "carbon credit" management is expected to benefit hybrid technology by highlighting its energy-saving advantages over the entire lifecycle, potentially increasing pressure on pure electric vehicles [13] - This policy shift could encourage the development of more energy-efficient fuel vehicles and improve the overall efficiency of hybrid systems [13] Future Development Directions - The hybrid technology market in China has matured, with significant cost advantages due to scale effects. Future developments will focus on enhancing engine thermal efficiency, aiming for 50% by 2030, and adapting to the needs of high-capacity, long-range hybrid vehicles [14][15] - The coexistence of plug-in hybrids and range-extended electric vehicles is anticipated, with new hybrid applications, such as off-road vehicles, expected to grow [14][15]