OECD第二次下调全球增长预测，称美国是受关税打击最严重国家之一

Group 1 - OECD has significantly downgraded the global economic growth forecast for 2025 from 3.3% to 2.9%, attributing this to the impact of Trump's trade policies [1] - The U.S. economic growth forecast has been halved from 2.8% to 1.6%, which is considerably lower than previous predictions made in March [2] - OECD's chief economist warns that the deteriorating economic outlook will affect global growth, with slowing growth and trade contraction impacting income and employment [2] Group 2 - The assessment reveals that Trump's policies are a pressing threat to the global economy, with no immediate solutions in sight [3] - Trade retaliation from U.S. partners, worsening confidence, and financial market re-pricing could exacerbate the situation [3] - The U.S. Federal Reserve Board member indicated that tariff policies will significantly contribute to rising inflation in the U.S. [3] Group 3 - OECD emphasizes that alleviating trade tensions and reducing tariffs are crucial for reviving growth and investment, but the effects of such measures will not be immediate [4] - The organization warns of increasing fiscal risks for countries due to significant spending pressures in defense, climate, and aging populations [5] - OECD calls for governments to cut unnecessary spending and expand the tax base to increase revenue [5]