全年利润指引、汽车出海、自研汽车芯片.……一文读懂小米投资者日说了什么

Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi's Investor Day revealed optimistic growth projections for 2025, including over 30% revenue growth and over 40% net profit growth year-on-year, supported by multiple business segments [2][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Xiaomi expects its 2025 revenue to grow by more than 30% year-on-year, with adjusted net profit anticipated to exceed 40% growth [2]. - The smartphone segment is projected to see an average selling price (ASP) increase of 3-5% and maintain a gross margin of 12-12.5% [2]. - The AIoT business is also expected to grow over 30% year-on-year, with a gross margin expansion of 2.0-2.5 percentage points [2]. Group 2: Electric Vehicle Business - Xiaomi's smart electric vehicle (EV) business is expected to achieve profitability starting in Q3 2025, aligning with Deutsche Bank's previous expectations [3]. - The company anticipates a net loss of 69 million RMB in Q2 2025, followed by net profits of 400 million RMB and 2.63 billion RMB in Q3 and Q4, respectively [3]. - Projected delivery volumes for 2025 are 86,600 units in Q2, 100,000 units in Q3, and 137,500 units in Q4, totaling 400,000 units for the year, surpassing the previous guidance of 350,000 units [3][4]. Group 3: Global Expansion Plans - Xiaomi plans to enter overseas markets for smart electric vehicles starting in 2027, significantly expanding its retail network [5]. - The number of Xiaomi Mi stores is expected to grow from approximately 500 in 2025 to 3,000 in 2026, aiming for a total of 10,000 stores by 2030 [5]. Group 4: Semiconductor Development - Xiaomi is accelerating its self-research in automotive semiconductors, with plans to begin production of automotive semiconductor products soon [6]. - The company has committed to investing 50 billion RMB in chip development over ten years, with 13.5 billion RMB already invested by February 2025 and an expected 6 billion RMB in R&D for 2025 [6][7].