2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao·2025-06-04 08:18Core Viewpoint - HPV infection is a significant public health issue globally, and vaccination is the best preventive measure against it. The market for HPV vaccines in China is facing challenges, particularly for bivalent vaccines, due to increased competition and the expansion of the age range for the nine-valent vaccine, impacting sales and revenue for companies like Wantai Biological Pharmacy [1][2][3]. Company Performance - Wantai Biological reported a 2024 revenue of 2.245 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 59.25%, and a net profit of 106 million yuan, down 91.49%, which fell short of analyst expectations [1]. - The decline in revenue and profit is attributed to market fluctuations, government procurement policies, and the competitive landscape with the nine-valent vaccine [1]. Market Dynamics - The HPV vaccine market in China is projected to grow from 135 billion yuan in 2020 to 690 billion yuan by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 17.7% [4]. - The nine-valent vaccine is expected to capture a significant market share due to its higher efficacy in preventing cervical cancer compared to bivalent and quadrivalent vaccines [4][5]. Competitive Landscape - Merck holds over 80% market share in the HPV vaccine sector, with its nine-valent vaccine being the only one that meets clinical trial efficacy standards [7][8]. - Domestic companies, including Wantai Biological, are developing their own nine-valent vaccines, with expectations for market entry around 2025 [7][11]. Regulatory and Clinical Developments - Wantai Biological's nine-valent HPV vaccine has been approved for use in women aged 9-45, with different dosing schedules based on age [3]. - The approval and market entry of domestic nine-valent vaccines are anticipated to intensify competition and potentially lead to price wars [11]. Public Health Impact - The World Health Organization reports an increase in HPV vaccination coverage among girls globally, indicating a growing acceptance and demand for HPV vaccines [4][5]. - There is significant room for improvement in vaccination rates in China, suggesting potential for market expansion [5][10]. Future Outlook - The HPV vaccine market in China is expected to experience rapid growth due to supportive government policies and increasing public health awareness [10][12]. - Companies are encouraged to invest in research and development for higher-valent vaccines and improve their market strategies to enhance their competitive positions [12][13].