Ge Long Hui·2025-06-04 10:42Overall Performance - The company's performance exceeded expectations with Q1 2025 revenue of 86.6 billion CNY, a year-over-year increase of 18%, surpassing Bloomberg's consensus estimate of 85.4 billion CNY [1] - Adjusted operating profit for Q1 2025 was 11.2 billion CNY, exceeding the consensus estimate of 9.9 billion CNY, with an adjusted operating profit margin of 13.0%, up from 9.5% in Q1 2024 [1] - Adjusted net profit reached 10.9 billion CNY, also above the consensus estimate of 9.7 billion CNY, with an adjusted net profit margin of 12.6%, compared to 10.2% in Q1 2024 [1] Core Local Business - Core local business revenue for Q1 2025 was 64.3 billion CNY, a year-over-year increase of 17.8%, exceeding the consensus estimate of 63.5 billion CNY [1] - Adjusted operating profit for this segment was 13.5 billion CNY, surpassing the consensus estimate of 12.2 billion CNY, with an operating profit margin of 21%, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 3.2 percentage points [1] Delivery Business - The delivery segment is expected to see high single-digit growth in order volume, with improved user engagement and frequency of purchases [1] - The company plans to invest 100 billion CNY over the next three years to promote high-quality development in the industry [1] Flash Purchase - Flash purchase orders are projected to grow approximately 30% year-over-year in Q1 2025, with over 500 million transaction users and a 60% increase in non-food orders [2] - The segment is expected to achieve profitability in Q1 2025 due to effective brand advertising and operational efficiencies [2] In-store Travel and Accommodation - The in-store travel and accommodation segment saw a GTV growth of over 30% year-over-year in Q1 2025 [3] - Revenue growth is expected to lag behind GTV growth due to advertising impacts and lower penetration in lower-tier cities [3] New Business - New business revenue reached 22.2 billion CNY in Q1 2025, a year-over-year increase of 19%, aligning with Bloomberg's consensus estimate [4] - The company is actively expanding overseas, with plans to invest 1 billion USD in Brazil over the next five years [4] Valuation and Forecast - The company has adjusted its earnings per share forecasts for 2025-2027 to 6.04, 7.20, and 8.09 CNY respectively, down from previous estimates [4] - The company maintains a target price of 172.90 HKD, with a reasonable valuation of 1,056.4 billion HKD [4]