Core Viewpoint - The stock price of Guangkang Biochemical surged by 68% in just five trading days, driven by speculative trading rather than fundamental performance, leading to significant shareholder sell-offs [1][2][6]. Group 1: Stock Price Surge - Guangkang Biochemical's stock price increased from 26.53 yuan to 44.68 yuan between May 25 and June 3, 2024, marking a new high since its listing [2]. - The surge was primarily fueled by the hype surrounding innovative drug approvals, despite the company's core business being in pesticides [2][3]. Group 2: Supply Shock and Market Reaction - A tragic explosion at a key supplier, Youdao Chemical, on May 27, 2024, created a perceived supply shortage for the company's product, chlorantraniliprole, which further drove up the stock price [3]. - The actual supply situation indicated that the supplier's capacity only accounted for 20%-30% of global supply, and the industry faced an oversupply issue [3]. Group 3: Trading Dynamics - Initial buying was led by retail investors, followed by institutional investors who collectively purchased 36.48 million yuan worth of shares, making up 64% of the total buying on May 30 [5]. - On June 3, institutional investors sold off 57.42 million yuan worth of shares, triggering a significant price drop of 13.16% the following day [5]. Group 4: Shareholder Sell-Off - Original shareholders announced a 6% reduction plan, potentially cashing out nearly 200 million yuan based on the market value on June 3, 2024 [6]. - The reduction coincided with the stock reaching an all-time high, with original investors seeing a profit of over 160% compared to their IPO cost [7]. Group 5: Company Performance - The company experienced a 25% decline in revenue and a 68% drop in net profit in its first year post-IPO, with a projected revenue rebound of 46.15% in 2024 but continued decline in net profit [6]. - The gross margin fell from 35% in 2022 to 22% in 2024, indicating deteriorating profitability and loss of pricing power [6].
广康生化股价短期暴涨与股东减持出逃