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安联:全球股票或为仍具吸引力的资产类别 看好基础设施与智能制造投资机遇
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-06-05 02:12

Group 1 - Global stock markets experienced volatility in April and May but showed signs of recovery due to trade negotiations and other factors [1][2] - The European political stability and large-scale stimulus plans, along with signs of moderate recovery in the Chinese economy and resilience in the US economy, indicate that global equities may still be an attractive asset class [1][4] - High inflation above historical averages may favor stocks over bonds in the medium term [1] Group 2 - The energy sector was negatively impacted by falling oil prices, making it the worst-performing sector in the MSCI All Country World Index [2] - Defensive stocks, such as consumer staples and utilities, recorded positive returns as investors shifted their focus [2] - Optimism around corporate earnings and sustained growth led to a rebound in information technology and communication services stocks towards the end of May [2] Group 3 - Geopolitical risks, such as the conflicts between Russia and Ukraine, and India and Pakistan, may drive market development in Europe, which has suffered losses due to these conflicts [3] - Post-German elections, European political stability and large-scale spending on infrastructure and defense are expected to boost the European economy, presenting interesting investment opportunities [3] - The Chinese economy is projected to show moderate growth by 2025, despite facing structural challenges, with a shift towards innovation and green energy policies [3] Group 4 - The US economy demonstrates resilience with stable growth, strong job creation, and slowing inflation, supported by high levels of technology and infrastructure investment [4] - Consumer spending remains robust, and the market is expected to react less severely to current uncertainties, creating favorable conditions for equities [4] - Global economic slowdown provides diverse growth sources, potentially leading to broader market development [4] Group 5 - Companies in the "infrastructure" theme are expected to benefit from increasing demand for digital and physical solutions, driven by cloud computing, 5G implementation, and smart city projects [5] - The adjustment of global supply chains and investments in renewable energy are stimulating demand for reliable power and logistics infrastructure [5] - The "smart manufacturing" theme holds significant potential as industries adopt automation to reduce costs and enhance productivity [5]