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2026美国楼市或崩盘引发全球,18年魔咒再临!中国该如何破局?
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-06-05 03:35

Group 1 - The U.S. real estate market follows an 18-year cyclical pattern, with a predicted downturn starting in 2026 that will have widespread negative impacts on the economy [1][3] - Historical data shows significant real estate crashes in the U.S. in 1972, 1990, and 2008, each occurring 18 years apart, indicating a strong correlation between real estate downturns and economic recessions [3][4] - The 2008 financial crisis exemplified how the collapse of the real estate market can lead to a broader financial crisis, as seen with the failures of Lehman Brothers and Fannie Mae [3][4] Group 2 - The upcoming downturn in the U.S. real estate market necessitates proactive strategies from China to mitigate potential impacts, including implementing policies to stabilize its own real estate market [6] - Chinese companies with overseas investments should conduct risk assessments to prepare for the underlying risks associated with the current U.S. real estate "prosperity" [6] - The potential recession in the U.S. could adversely affect China's export industries, highlighting the need for strategic development in relevant market sectors to counteract the effects of the U.S. real estate cycle [6]