特朗普关税或将削2.8万亿美元赤字，但代价触目惊心！

Group 1 - The CBO report indicates that Trump's global tariff plan will reduce the federal deficit by $2.8 trillion over the next 10 years, but will simultaneously slow economic growth, increase inflation, and weaken household purchasing power [1] - The report predicts that tariffs will lead to an average annual inflation rate increase of 0.4 percentage points from 2025 to 2026 [1] - The CBO's analysis assumes that the tariff policies announced by the Trump administration will be implemented long-term, despite previous court rulings questioning the legality of these tariffs [1] Group 2 - The CBO concludes that the $2.8 trillion deficit reduction will come at the cost of reduced household wealth and a contraction in the overall economy, estimating a permanent decrease in the annual GDP growth rate of 0.06 percentage points [1] - The OECD's global economic outlook report predicts that U.S. economic growth will slow to 1.5% by 2026 [2] - The CBO emphasizes significant uncertainty in its estimates due to the potential for the Trump administration to adjust tariff policies at any time [2]