关税风波下中国内需消费成焦点 Global X 中国消费龙头品牌ETF投资多个政策受益板块

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that the Chinese consumer goods sector is becoming a defensive area in the market due to limited direct risks from exports and increasing expectations for the Chinese government to accelerate domestic consumption stimulus policies [1][2] - The Global X China Consumer Leaders ETF (02806) has only 4% of its revenue coming from the U.S., primarily affecting the home appliance and sportswear OEM industries [1] - Macroeconomic data supports the resilience of Chinese consumption, with Q1 GDP growing by 5.4%, surpassing the market expectation of 5.2%, and March retail sales increasing by 5.9%, higher than the expected 4.2% [1] Group 2 - Future Asset anticipates that stimulus policies will focus on several areas, including: 1) fertility support policies, which may benefit the milk powder and dairy industries; 2) consumption vouchers applicable to dining and general retail; 3) service consumption subsidies benefiting tourism, education, entertainment, and domestic services; 4) expansion of the "old-for-new" policy, which will continue to benefit home appliances, furniture, home decoration, automobiles, and consumer electronics [1] - The expectation of increased stimulus policies is likely to enhance immediate consumption growth, improve profit growth expectations, and lead to a revaluation of the sector [2] - The Global X China Consumer Leaders ETF captures recovery opportunities in the Chinese consumer sector through a balanced investment portfolio, investing in multiple policy-benefiting sub-sectors and defensive industries with low tariff risks [2]