年内涨幅超3倍仍低于发行价，港股18A创新药企后市走势如何？

Core Viewpoint - The innovative drug sector in the Hong Kong stock market is experiencing a significant rebound, with many stocks doubling in price this year, indicating a renewed investor interest and optimism in the sector [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - Over 20 innovative drug-related stocks in the Hong Kong market have seen year-to-date gains exceeding or nearing 100%, with 6 stocks more than doubling in value [1]. - Notable performers include Kelun-Biotech, Innovent Biologics, and Kintor Pharmaceutical, with respective price increases of 447.6%, 417.1%, and 406.5% compared to their issue prices [1]. - As of June 5, 2024, several companies listed under the 18A rule have shown significant stock price increases, with 52 out of 70 companies experiencing gains this year [3][4]. Group 2: Industry Dynamics - The introduction of the 18A listing rule in 2018 allowed unprofitable biotech companies to go public, which has led to a mixed performance in the sector due to previous market downturns [2][3]. - The innovative drug industry is transitioning from a focus on generic drugs to becoming a leader in global drug development, with domestic companies achieving significant advancements in drug efficacy [7]. Group 3: Financial Performance - By 2024, several 18A companies have reported substantial revenue growth, with top companies like BeiGene and Innovent Biologics seeing revenues rise from 75.89 billion yuan to 272.14 billion yuan and from 42.70 billion yuan to 94.22 billion yuan, respectively [4]. - In 2024, nine 18A companies achieved profitability, a significant improvement from 2020 when none were profitable [5]. Group 4: Strategic Developments - The innovative drug sector is witnessing a surge in business development (BD) deals, with 41 license-out transactions totaling $36.93 billion in the first quarter of 2025, indicating a robust international market presence [7][8]. - Companies like Hengrui Medicine have secured significant partnerships, enhancing their market position and valuation [8]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The innovative drug sector is expected to continue its upward trajectory, with many analysts predicting a valuation re-evaluation as leading companies approach profitability [6][9]. - Investment strategies should focus on the strategic direction and success probabilities of innovative drug companies, with ETFs being a viable option for new investors [10].