Core Viewpoint - The article argues that ASEAN should adopt a strategy of "doing nothing" in response to the U.S. government's tariff war, rejecting unequal negotiations to better protect its own interests and hold the U.S. accountable for its protectionist actions [1]. Group 1: Economic Impact of U.S. Tariffs - The article highlights that U.S. President Trump’s claims of Asian economies "stealing jobs" are unfounded, as the U.S. unemployment rate is projected to average 3.8% from 2021 to 2024, one of the lowest among developed countries [3]. - The U.S. GDP is expected to reach a record $29.3 trillion in 2024, maintaining its status as the world's largest economy, while the service sector contributes 81% of GDP and employs 79% of the workforce, indicating that manufacturing's role in job creation is minimal [3]. - ASEAN has significantly contributed to U.S. prosperity, supplying critical semiconductor and machinery components essential for U.S. manufacturing competitiveness [4]. Group 2: ASEAN's Response Strategy - ASEAN should not grant tariff concessions to the U.S., reaffirming its core values of non-alignment, multilateralism, and mutual respect [5]. - ASEAN should persuade the U.S. business community that an open and stable market aligns with long-term interests, as U.S. companies have profited significantly from ASEAN's openness [5]. - The article suggests that the ultimate burden of U.S. tariffs will fall on American companies reliant on Southeast Asian supply chains, which will face increased costs, logistical delays, and diminished competitiveness [5]. - ASEAN is encouraged to enhance economic resilience, improve regional integration, diversify trade partners, and expand strategic partnerships, while also promoting diversification in currency settlement and payment systems for a more autonomous future [5].
国际经济协会秘书长:面对美关税战,东盟应选择战略性“脱钩”
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-06-05 13:55