Core Viewpoint - Company demonstrates resilient demand and continues to optimize marketing strategies, maintaining healthy loan quality and shareholder returns through ongoing share buybacks [1][2] Group 1: Loan Quality and Profitability - In Q1 2025, the C-M2 ratio slightly increased to 0.60% from 0.57% in Q4 2024, while the first-day overdue rate rose to 5.0% from 4.8% [1] - The 30-day repayment rate remained stable at 88.1%, indicating that loan quality is still healthy [1] - The provision coverage ratio stands at 666%, up from 617% in Q4 2024, suggesting high profitability quality [1] Group 2: Demand and Customer Acquisition - Q1 2025 saw new loan issuance of 88.9 billion, a slight decrease of 1.1% quarter-on-quarter, reflecting resilient credit demand despite being a traditional off-peak season [2] - The company expects a year-on-year growth rate of approximately 8% in new loan issuance for 2025 [2] - The cost of customer acquisition increased to 384 RMB in Q1 2025 from 312 RMB in Q4 2024, attributed to a higher proportion of API channel acquisitions and increased spending on high-cost information flow channels [2] Group 3: Shareholder Returns - As of May 19, 2025, the company has repurchased shares worth 178 million USD out of a planned 450 million USD buyback, with expectations to complete the remaining amount within the year [2] - The company has committed to a dividend payout ratio of 20-30%, projecting a minimum shareholder return of approximately 10% for the year [2] Group 4: Profit Forecast - The company maintains net profit forecasts of 7.1 billion, 7.7 billion, and 8.2 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [2] - Target prices for US and Hong Kong stocks are set at 55.6 USD and 220.9 HKD, based on a PE ratio of 6.5x for 2025 and DCF methods [2]
奇富科技-S(3660.HK)：盈利高质量 贷款质量稳健