Performance Review - Company reported 1Q25 financial data: revenue of 5.876 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.6%, gross profit of 1.428 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.8%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 635 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.2%, meeting expectations [1]. Development Trends Mining Equipment - Domestic demand remains resilient, with positive outlook for overseas expansion of mining trucks. Domestic coal prices are in a downward trend due to weak demand. Current demand for tunneling machines and wide-body trucks is strong, while hydraulic support prices are under intense competition. The company expects good growth for overseas wide-body trucks and large mining trucks, driven by product upgrades and reduced overall user costs, indicating significant long-term growth potential in large mining trucks and related aftermarket [1]. Logistics Equipment - Demand for port machinery is on the rise, with expansion of new products overseas. Starting in 2023, global demand for port equipment is recovering, with full orders for large port machinery and gradually strengthening order profitability. Exports of small port machinery products remain robust in Asia, Africa, and Latin America. Over the past three years, the company has aggressively expanded new products like telescopic forklifts in the European and American markets, currently producing in India to address tariff issues. The company is optimistic about the trend towards electrification of small port machinery and the continued expansion of new products overseas [1]. Oil and Gas Equipment - Demand and profitability are expected to recover. In 2024, revenue and profitability declined due to major clients' cost-cutting measures. The company anticipates marginal recovery in industry demand in 2025, with strengthened internal management to restore market share [2]. New Industries - Focus on cost reduction and efficiency improvement, expanding overseas application scenarios. In 2024, the company will enhance management reforms for new industries, readjusting businesses with intense competition and limited profitability. It is expected that operating losses in new industries will significantly narrow in 2025, optimizing the efficiency and return rate of existing assets [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains the 2025 EPS forecast at 0.70 yuan and introduces the 2026 EPS forecast at 0.81 yuan. The current stock price corresponds to 7.9x/6.7x P/E for 2025/2026. Considering the improvement prospects in new industry profitability, the target price is raised by 25% to 7.10 HKD, corresponding to 9.5x/8.1x P/E for 2025/2026, indicating a 21% upside potential, maintaining an outperform rating [2].
三一国际(00631.HK):一季度财务稳健 新产业盈利有望快速修复