前美财长萨默斯：特朗普“美丽大法案”将开启美国霸权衰落倒计时

Group 1 - The core argument presented by Summers is that Trump's tax and spending plan will ultimately weaken the United States' global leadership by increasing the national debt burden [1] - Summers estimates that the actual increase in the budget deficit due to the proposed legislation will exceed $4 trillion, significantly higher than the Congressional Budget Office's (CBO) estimate of $2.4 trillion over ten years [1][2] - The CBO also projects that the additional interest costs over the next decade will reach $551 billion, which does not account for other dynamic impacts such as the potential effects on economic growth [1] Group 2 - Summers identifies three main reasons for the rising debt burden: an increasing population over 65 years old raising welfare costs, rising government healthcare expenses, and expanding interest payments by the Treasury [2] - He warns that the proposed tax plan could push the annual fiscal deficit as a percentage of GDP significantly above 7%, a level rarely seen outside of economic crises [2] - Summers supports Trump's recent comments on abolishing the statutory debt ceiling, arguing that it poses a significant risk to the nation [2][3]