Can Casey's Deliver In Its Next Earnings Report?

Group 1 - Casey's General Stores is expected to report fiscal fourth-quarter earnings on June 9, 2025, with analysts predicting earnings of $1.95 per share and revenue of $3.95 billion, reflecting a 17% decrease in earnings year-over-year and a 10% increase in sales compared to the previous year [2] - In the third quarter, Casey's reported an 11% year-over-year rise in EBITDA, with net income remaining unchanged but projected to have increased by 15% when excluding one-off expenses from a $1.1 billion acquisition [3] - The company has a market capitalization of $17 billion, with total revenue reaching $16 billion over the last twelve months, operational profits of $768 million, and net income of $535 million [3] Group 2 - Historical trends indicate that Casey's stock has dipped 65% of the time after earnings announcements, with a median one-day decline of 2.9% and a maximum drop of 7% [2] - Over the last five years, there have been 20 earnings data points for Casey's, with 7 positive and 13 negative one-day returns, resulting in positive returns approximately 35% of the time [6] - The median of the 7 positive returns is 7.4%, while the median of the 13 negative returns is -2.9% [6]