真茅台or“塑料茅台”，消费投资风向“变天”？私募却说：现在买泡泡玛特相当于高位买白酒

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in Pop Mart's stock price is compared to the speculative hype surrounding Moutai in early 2021, indicating a trend of following market fads rather than solid fundamentals [1][4]. Group 1: Investment Perspectives - A private equity manager noted that Pop Mart's performance last year compensated for losses in Moutai, highlighting the unexpected strength of Pop Mart's stock [2]. - The private equity manager expressed concerns that Pop Mart may have overextended its future earnings potential, suggesting that current valuations require significant profit growth to be justified [4]. - The stock price of Pop Mart has increased over tenfold in just a year and a half, rising from 19.05 HKD to 252.6 HKD per share [6]. Group 2: Market Performance and Growth - Pop Mart's revenue from the Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan regions, as well as overseas markets, reached 5.07 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 375.2%, with Southeast Asia becoming the second-largest market [3]. - The company has successfully launched multiple IPs, with 13 IPs generating over 100 million CNY in revenue, and the new IP THEMONSTERS achieving 3.04 billion CNY in revenue, a 726.6% increase [3]. Group 3: Fund Manager Behavior - Recent trends show that new generation fund managers are increasingly investing in growth-oriented new consumer brands like Pop Mart, moving away from traditional consumer stocks [7]. - The number of funds holding Pop Mart shares has significantly increased, from 36 funds holding 51.56 million shares to 207 funds holding 68.75 million shares in just three months [6]. Group 4: New vs. Old Consumption - The market is witnessing a shift from traditional consumption (e.g., liquor, home appliances) to new consumption (e.g., cultural and entertainment products), reflecting changing consumer values [10]. - The investment logic for both Pop Mart and Moutai is seen as similar, with both representing a form of cultural and emotional value rather than just practical utility [10][11].