2025年易凯资本中国健康产业白皮书-医疗与健康服务篇-易凯资本

Core Insights - The report indicates that the Chinese healthcare service market is expected to exceed 10 trillion RMB in 2024, driven by an aging population and increasing demand for chronic disease management and rehabilitation care [1][5][7] - The integration of technology and healthcare is transforming the industry, with AI models and robotic technologies enhancing diagnostic and treatment efficiency [1][19] Market Overview - The Chinese healthcare service market has grown from approximately 4 trillion RMB in 2015 to about 9 trillion RMB in 2023, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10-12% [7][8] - By the end of 2024, the total number of healthcare institutions in China is expected to reach 1.092 million, with a notable increase in grassroots medical institutions [9][10] Demographic Changes - The aging population is a significant driver of healthcare demand, with 60 years and older population reaching 310 million (22% of the total population) by 2024 [10][11] - The low birth rate is impacting obstetrics and pediatrics, leading to a decline in resources in these areas, while assisted reproductive technology is gaining traction due to policy support [11][15] Policy and Regulatory Environment - The healthcare reform in 2024 is characterized by stringent drug price controls and anti-corruption measures, which are reshaping the industry towards quality over quantity [16][20] - The implementation of DRG (Diagnosis-Related Group) payment systems and the promotion of the Sanming healthcare reform model are driving hospitals to optimize service structures [22][23] Investment Trends - The A-share healthcare service sector experienced volatility in 2024, with a total of 29 merger and acquisition transactions valued at 6.3 billion RMB, focusing on consumer and serious medical fields [2][24] - The Hong Kong market has become a key exit for domestic healthcare companies, with several firms successfully listing and attracting significant investment [41][42] Technological Integration - The integration of AI and other advanced technologies is revolutionizing healthcare delivery, with AI models achieving high accuracy in clinical applications [19][20] - The development of smart healthcare systems is essential for improving service delivery and efficiency in the face of increasing demand [23][24] Market Challenges and Opportunities - The healthcare service sector is facing challenges from regulatory pressures and market fluctuations, but opportunities exist in specialized medical fields and technological advancements [24][29] - The shift towards value-based care and the emphasis on high-quality services are expected to create new growth avenues for healthcare providers [22][23]