金价闪耀 矿业ETF却失宠！投资者缘何对“淘金热”降温

Group 1 - Despite rising gold prices, gold mining ETFs are experiencing capital outflows, indicating a diminishing appeal in this once-thriving sector [1] - Year-to-date, gold mining stocks have significantly outperformed the broader market, with the largest gold mining ETF, VanEck (GDX.US), rising 57%, surpassing gold's 24% increase [1] - Monthly capital outflows have been observed in the VanEck ETF throughout the year, except for May, even as gold prices reached historical highs [1][3] Group 2 - Factors contributing to the outflows include long-term budget overruns making investors wary of holding mining stocks, with many viewing them as trading opportunities rather than long-term investments [3] - The Nasdaq 100 index, primarily composed of tech stocks, has risen 10% since late April, attracting traders away from gold mining stocks [3] - Analysts from Bank of America Securities have suggested investors shift from gold to oil, highlighting the relative value differences between these asset classes [3] Group 3 - Despite recent gains, mining stocks are still considered undervalued based on historical price-to-earnings ratios, with Newmont Mining (NEM.US) having a forward P/E ratio of only 13, below its five-year average of 20 [4] - Current valuations imply a gold resource value of only $1,454 per ounce, significantly lower than the current spot gold price of $3,380 [6] - Central banks continue to purchase gold, with estimates of monthly purchases averaging 80 tons, contributing to ongoing support for gold prices [6]