特朗普通告全球，必须交出“投降书”！越南突然被点名，中方态度明确

Group 1 - The U.S. government has raised steel and aluminum tariffs to 50%, applying pressure on multiple countries to submit trade negotiation proposals by a specified deadline, which has sparked widespread controversy and concern internationally [1][3] - The current actual tariff level in the U.S. is the highest since 1938, and if the "reciprocal tariffs" are fully implemented, it will reach the highest level since the 1890s, directly impacting the stability of the global trade system [1][3] - The OECD has downgraded U.S. economic growth forecasts for 2025 from 2.2% to 1.6% and for 2026 to 1.5%, indicating significant negative repercussions on the U.S. economy due to the tariff policies [3][6] Group 2 - Vietnam has been specifically targeted by the U.S. to reduce its reliance on Chinese materials and components, which poses a significant threat to its economy as a large portion of its manufacturing relies on Chinese imports [3][4] - The structural dependency of Vietnam on Chinese intermediate products means that the costs of decoupling will far exceed the benefits gained from tariff reductions, complicating the trade relationship [4][6] - The increase in tariffs has led to rising costs in various sectors, including automotive and construction, with reports indicating an 8%-12% increase in metal packaging food prices in U.S. supermarkets [6][9] Group 3 - The U.S. tariff policy is causing a global chain reaction, with the EU and Japan considering countermeasures, and the uncertainty in international trade rules is leading to a decline in global investment and trade volumes [6][7] - Developing countries, particularly those reliant on steel and aluminum imports, are facing increased cost pressures, while African agricultural nations are losing market share due to increased U.S. agricultural exports [6][9] - The international community is showing a clear trend of division, with many countries refusing to take sides in the U.S.-China conflict, and multilateral cooperation mechanisms are gaining importance as a counter to unilateralism [7][9] Group 4 - China is positioning itself as a responsible global player, with significant increases in investment in ASEAN countries and cross-border e-commerce with Vietnam, indicating resilience in supply chains despite external pressures [9] - The U.S. tariff strategy is seen as an attempt to restructure the global economic order, but data suggests that this approach is leading to a "lose-lose" situation for all parties involved [9] - The future of the global economy hinges on whether unilateralism will undermine globalization or if cooperation can be fostered to create a more resilient governance system [9]