翁富豪：6.7 非农数据后黄金市场波动加剧，下周黄金操作建议

Group 1 - The U.S. non-farm payroll data for May showed an increase of 139,000 jobs, exceeding market expectations of 130,000, while the unemployment rate remained steady at 4.2%, aligning with forecasts [1] - Despite a decline from the previous value of 177,000 jobs, the better-than-expected performance strengthens the Federal Reserve's expectation to maintain current interest rate policies, leading to a significant drop in gold's safe-haven demand [1] - Following the data release, U.S. Treasury yields rose sharply, the U.S. dollar index strengthened, and spot gold prices fell by $40 to $3,331 per ounce [1] Group 2 - The month-over-month wage growth was 0.4%, and year-over-year growth was 3.9%, indicating persistent inflationary pressures, which further reduced market expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in the short term [1] - Despite the recent drop, gold prices have increased approximately 28% this year, highlighting its safe-haven value amid global geopolitical uncertainties [1] - Analysts believe that positive signals from U.S.-China trade negotiations have directly suppressed demand for safe-haven assets, with the decline in gold prices reflecting the market's immediate reaction to the easing trade relations [1] Group 3 - Technical analysis of gold indicates a bearish outlook for the upcoming week, with a focus on the support level between 3,270 and 3,250 [3] - If the support holds, there is potential for gold to rebound above 3,350 [3] - The daily chart shows a significant drop after being blocked at 3,375, closing at 3,307, suggesting a continuation of the downward trend [3] Group 4 - Suggested trading strategy includes selling on rebounds in the 3,325-3,330 range with a stop loss at 3,338 and a target of 3,315-3,295 [4] - Additionally, a buying strategy is recommended for pullbacks in the 3,270-3,265 range with a stop loss at 3,257 and a target of 3,300-3,330 [4]