博晓通：2025年现制饮品行业机遇分析报告

Core Insights - The report indicates that the Chinese ready-to-drink beverage industry has entered a new stage of quality-price ratio and scale development, with a market size of 546.6 billion yuan in 2023, expected to exceed 1 trillion yuan by 2028, driven by second-tier cities and Southeast Asian markets [1][8][12]. Market Dynamics and Growth Drivers - The market structure shows that first-tier cities are saturated, while second-tier and lower cities account for over 60% of store numbers, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 23% in GMV [1][12]. - China and Southeast Asia contribute nearly 40% of the global growth in ready-to-drink beverages, with Southeast Asia experiencing a CAGR of 19.8% [1][12]. - Consumer demand is shifting from mere thirst-quenching to quality, health, and scenario-based consumption, driving multi-dimensional product innovation [1][8][20]. Supply Chain and Digital Empowerment - The supply chain is upgrading to direct sourcing from quality production areas, with leading brands establishing their own planting bases to enhance raw material quality and optimize costs [2][38]. - Digitalization is integrated into supply chain management, store operations, and consumer experience, enabling precise marketing and repurchase loops [2][19]. Franchise Model and Competitive Advantages - The franchise model is central to brand expansion, with initial investments for new tea beverage stores ranging from 120,000 to 400,000 yuan, and a payback period of 1-2 years [2][32]. - Brands ensure consistency in service between franchise and direct stores through strong management controls, with companies like "Hushang Ayi" accelerating market penetration through this model [2][25]. Industry Trends and Challenges - Future strategies must balance scale and differentiation, with leading brands enhancing social responsibility through initiatives like the New Tea Beverage Public Welfare Fund [2][12]. - The industry faces challenges from increasing homogenization, necessitating continuous product development and deeper digital applications to meet rapidly changing consumer demands [2][12]. Consumer Trends - Consumers are increasingly focused on the quality of raw materials, preferring high-end tea leaves, fresh fruits, and quality dairy products, while also seeking health-conscious options [20][24]. - The demand for low-sugar, plant-based ingredients is rising, with brands innovating to meet these health trends [22][24]. Product Innovation - The evolution of beverage ingredients reflects a shift towards health and functionality, with current trends emphasizing diverse tea bases and innovative, health-oriented additives [22][24]. - Seasonal product offerings help balance revenue fluctuations, with leading brands frequently launching new products to maintain consumer interest [1][22]. Market Expansion Opportunities - The second-tier and lower-tier cities represent the largest market for the new tea beverage industry, with significant growth potential [12][15]. - International market expansion, particularly in Southeast Asia, presents a second growth curve for brands, alongside the promotion of Chinese tea culture [12][16]. Strategic Implications - Digital transformation is crucial for sustainable growth, enhancing operational efficiency and creating competitive barriers for new tea beverage brands [19][38]. - The establishment of the New Tea Beverage Public Welfare Fund by several brands highlights a commitment to social responsibility and community engagement [40][41].