30天倒计时！特朗普逼印度“退群”金砖，莫迪沉默背后藏着大棋

Core Points - The U.S. is pressuring India to distance itself from BRICS in exchange for a trade agreement, highlighting a shift in diplomatic tactics [1][3] - The U.S. sees India as a crucial player in its Indo-Pacific strategy, aiming to weaken China's influence by leveraging India's position [3][5] - India's reliance on Chinese manufacturing is significant, with a projected 37% increase in imports of Chinese machinery and electrical products in 2024 [5] - The U.S. demands include opening India's agricultural market to American soybeans and threatening military supply chains, particularly for F-21 fighter jet parts [7] - India is strategically delaying its response to U.S. demands while strengthening ties with Russia and exploring alternative currency agreements with the Middle East [9] - China's response to the situation has been measured, with support for India through infrastructure loans, contrasting with U.S. tactics [10] - Internal divisions in India are evident, with public sentiment largely against U.S. economic pressure and protests against American agricultural imports [12] - Global reactions to U.S. pressure include support for BRICS from other nations, indicating a broader resistance to U.S. hegemony [14] Summary by Sections U.S.-India Relations - The U.S. Commerce Secretary's visit to India was marked by a stark warning to sever ties with BRICS for a trade deal [1] - The U.S. initially expected compliance from 75 countries regarding tariffs but faced resistance, particularly from India [3] Economic Implications - The U.S. is pushing for India to open its agricultural market, which could significantly impact local farmers [7] - India's imports from China are expected to rise sharply, indicating a complex economic interdependence [5] Strategic Maneuvering - India is employing a strategy of delay while seeking to strengthen its energy ties with Russia and explore alternative economic frameworks [9] - China's support for India through financial means contrasts with U.S. pressure tactics, showcasing a different diplomatic approach [10] Domestic Sentiment - There is significant public backlash in India against U.S. economic policies, with protests emerging against American agricultural imports [12] - The internal political landscape in India is divided, with strong opposition to U.S. influence and calls for maintaining BRICS membership [12] Global Context - Other BRICS nations are rallying against U.S. pressure, indicating a potential shift in global power dynamics [14]