36万亿美债濒临崩盘！特朗普喊话中国，7天内必须见一面？

Group 1 - The rise in the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield by over 6 basis points and the 30-year yield surpassing 5% signals a looming economic crisis in the U.S. with a staggering $36 trillion in debt at risk of collapse [1] - Major credit rating agencies have downgraded the U.S. credit rating, with Moody's lowering it from "Aaa" to "Aa1" in May 2024, citing excessive government debt and interest burdens [3] - The U.S. federal debt reached $36.2 trillion, accounting for 124% of GDP, with projections indicating it could rise to 134% by 2035, alongside a fiscal deficit of $2.1 trillion for the 2024 fiscal year [3] Group 2 - The downgrade of the U.S. credit rating triggered significant market reactions, with major stock indices falling, including a 1.49% drop in Nasdaq futures and a 4% pre-market decline for Tesla [4] - Investors reacted by selling off U.S. Treasuries, leading to a spike in the 30-year Treasury yield above 5% and the 10-year yield exceeding 4.5% [4] - The dollar index fell by 0.8%, while gold prices surged, with COMEX gold futures rising over 2% [4] Group 3 - Financial leaders, including JPMorgan's CEO Jamie Dimon, warned that extreme fiscal policies could lead to a crisis in the U.S. debt market, labeling the rising government debt as the "biggest risk" to the macroeconomy [6][7] - The potential collapse of U.S. Treasuries could create a dilemma for the government, as increasing taxes or cutting fiscal support would be challenging [7] - Trump's urgent desire to communicate with China is seen as an attempt to alleviate U.S. financial pressures, as China has been reducing its holdings of U.S. debt, now down to $765.4 billion [7][9] Group 4 - Despite some progress in U.S.-China negotiations, significant differences remain, with the U.S. imposing restrictions on China, complicating the potential for dialogue [9] - The crisis surrounding the $36 trillion U.S. debt is not only a domestic issue but poses a significant challenge to the global economy, indicating a potential shift in the global economic landscape [9]