贪婪与恐惧，分歧或共识：苦价格战久矣的车圈众生相

Group 1: Industry Challenges - The automotive industry is facing intense "price wars," leading to increased pressure on suppliers to lower prices and extend payment terms, resulting in a challenging financial environment for suppliers [2][3] - In 2024, the loss ratio for automotive dealers is projected to be 41.7%, with a significant reduction in the number of 4S dealerships, marking the first negative growth since 2021 [2] - The average accounts payable turnover days for major automotive companies have been rising, with Haima Automotive at approximately 206 days and BYD at about 146 days as of Q3 2024 [5] Group 2: Supplier Financial Strain - Suppliers are experiencing extended payment cycles, with some reporting payment terms ranging from 30 to 120 days, which is exacerbated by the competitive landscape [3][4] - Financial platforms promoted by automakers, such as BYD's DiChain, have extended payment cycles to six months, further straining supplier cash flow [4] - The new regulations effective June 1, 2023, aim to protect small and medium enterprises from forced acceptance of non-cash payment methods that could extend payment terms [6] Group 3: Dealer Dynamics - Dealers are facing high inventory levels and liquidity risks, with a reported increase in overall inventory by 12,000 vehicles in early 2025, breaking a five-year trend of inventory reduction [7][9] - The financial struggles of dealers are highlighted by the bankruptcy of several dealerships, including the Qiancheng Group, due to cash flow management issues exacerbated by manufacturer policies [7][8] - Only 35% of 4S stores met or exceeded their sales targets in the first half of the year, indicating significant pressure on dealer operations [9] Group 4: Market Response and Future Outlook - There is a growing consensus among industry leaders to move away from destructive price wars, with calls for a healthier competitive environment to stabilize the industry [11][13] - In Q1 2025, the number of models experiencing price reductions decreased significantly compared to the previous year, indicating a potential shift in market strategy [11] - Major brands are implementing substantial price cuts, with some models seeing reductions exceeding 100,000 yuan, reflecting the ongoing competitive pressures in the market [12]