Mosaic Raises Q2 DAP Price Guidance, Trims Phosphate Sales View

Group 1 - The Mosaic Company (MOS) has raised its guidance for DAP prices for Q2 2025 to $650-$670 per ton due to strong market conditions, up from the previous range of $635-$655 per ton [1][8] - Full-year phosphate production volume is now estimated at 7.0–7.3 million tons, down from the prior estimate of 7.2–7.6 million tons, with Q2 phosphate sales volumes forecasted at 1.5–1.6 million tons, reduced from 1.7–1.9 million tons [2][8] - Potash prices remain stable, with guidance for MOP prices unchanged at $230 to $250 per ton, and estimated sales volumes for potash in Q2 remain at 2.3–2.5 million tons [2][8] Group 2 - The Bartow phosphate facility is expected to produce over 500,000 tons in Q2, annualized over 2 million tons, meeting operational targets, while the New Wales phosphate facility is projected to increase production by over 20% from the prior quarter [3][4] - Planned downtimes at the Riverview facility are expected to impact production, with Q3 production likely to reach an annualized output of 1.6 million tons, while the Louisiana facilities are expected to perform at a target annual run rate of 1.4 million tons in Q3 [4] - MOS is optimistic about achieving an 8-million-ton target run rate across its U.S. phosphate assets in the second half of the year [4] Group 3 - Mosaic Fertilizantes is anticipated to significantly enhance Q2 results due to rising prices, improved distribution margins, operational efficiencies, and a favorable currency environment [5] - MOS shares have increased by 21% over the past year, outperforming the Zacks Fertilizers industry's 15.2% rise [5]