CATL(SZ:300750) Zheng Quan Ri Bao·2025-06-10 13:40Core Viewpoint - The lithium iron phosphate (LFP) market is experiencing contrasting dynamics, with some companies halting expansion projects while others continue to secure large orders and expand capacity [2][4]. Group 1: Market Demand and Production - In May, LFP production reached 287,900 tons, a 7.15% increase from April, with expectations for June production to rise to 294,600 tons [2]. - The overall demand for LFP remains high this year, but the market is shifting away from low-price competition towards a focus on higher performance [2][4]. - The strong growth of LFP batteries is evident, with April 2025 data showing a vehicle installation volume of 44.8 GWh, accounting for 82.8% of total installations, representing a year-on-year growth of 75.9% [4]. Group 2: Technological Advancements and Contracts - CATL has signed agreements to secure LFP production capacity, including a 5 billion yuan prepayment to support the construction of a 160,000-ton annual capacity line [3]. - The trend in technological iteration is towards high-pressure dense LFP products, which have a density greater than 2.5-2.6 g/cm, indicating a shift towards higher-end products [5]. - The market is seeing a structural reform driven by technological upgrades, with second-generation products being phased out in favor of new technologies [4][5]. Group 3: Industry Dynamics and Competition - Some companies are terminating LFP expansion projects due to changes in market supply and demand dynamics, with notable examples including Zhongke Titanium White and Guangdong Fangyuan New Materials [5]. - The industry is undergoing a significant reshuffle, with market concentration increasing as leading manufacturers secure more orders and focus on high-pressure LFP supply capabilities [5]. - Despite holding long-term contracts, leading manufacturers face challenges in achieving reasonable profits amid rapid cost reduction pressures [4][5].