世行警告：本十年面临20世纪60年代以来最弱的十年全球增长表现

Group 1 - The World Bank has downgraded its global economic growth forecast for 2025 from 2.7% to 2.3%, marking one of the lowest growth rates in 17 years, only better than during the 2009 financial crisis and the 2020 pandemic [1] - Nearly 70% of countries have had their growth expectations lowered in the latest Global Economic Outlook report [2] - Approximately 60% of developing economies are expected to face economic slowdowns, a decrease of 0.3 percentage points from the January forecast [3] Group 2 - The growth rate expectation for low-income countries is now 5.3%, down by 0.4 percentage points from previous predictions [4] - The United States is projected to grow by only 1.4% this year, a reduction of 0.9 percentage points from earlier estimates [5] - Both the Eurozone and Japan have their growth rate expectations set at 0.7%, with downgrades of 0.3 and 0.5 percentage points respectively [6] Group 3 - The World Bank warns that if trade restrictions escalate or policy uncertainty persists, economic growth may slow further, potentially leading to increased financial pressures [7] - Other risks include spillover effects from major economies' slowdowns, escalating conflicts, and extreme weather events [7] Group 4 - Analysis indicates that the return of former President Trump to the White House may lead to intensified trade actions, as his administration views free trade as detrimental to U.S. manufacturing and supply chain resilience [8] - The unpredictable nature of U.S. tariffs has disrupted markets, causing investment stagnation and supply chain chaos [8] Group 5 - The World Bank's Chief Economist, Indermit Gill, states that the current global economy is in turmoil, and without a swift change in direction, living standards may suffer significantly [9] - The report emphasizes that international discord, particularly in trade, undermines post-World War II policies aimed at reducing extreme poverty and expanding prosperity [9] - The World Bank suggests that easing trade tensions and focusing on debt control and job creation could improve global economic prospects [9]