Meta Platforms Enters Its Most Bullish Month: A Return To Record Highs In Sight?

Core Viewpoint - Meta Platforms Inc. is entering a historically favorable 30-day period for stock performance, with a strong track record of returns from June 11 to July 11 over the past 13 years [1][2]. Historical Performance - Meta shares have gained in 12 out of the last 13 years during this 30-day window, with an average return of 6.3% and a median gain of 6.5% [2]. - The best return occurred in 2012 with a rise of 14.68%, while 2022 was the only year with a loss, showing a modest dip of 0.84% [2]. - The standard deviation of returns is 4.49%, indicating a relatively stable performance range [2]. Drawdown Analysis - In the 12 positive years, only three years experienced drawdowns greater than 2%: 2014 (-4.59%), 2016 (-4.37%), and 2020 (-3.72%) [3]. - Most years saw negligible or no intra-period pullbacks, with 2012, 2018, and 2023 showing no declines from the starting level during the entire 30-day stretch [3]. Future Projections - If historical trends continue, Meta's stock could potentially rise by $44, approaching $742 by mid-July [4]. - As of 2025, Meta has increased by 19% year-to-date, outperforming the Nasdaq 100 index, which is up 4% [5]. Financial Performance - In its April report, Meta reported a revenue growth of 16% year-over-year, reaching $42.3 billion, and earnings per share of $6.43, which is a 35% increase [5].