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磷酸铁锂电池:“半壁江山”到“独占鳌头”的嬗变
Zhong Guo Qi Che Bao Wang·2025-06-11 01:39

Core Insights - The announcement by Wanrun New Energy regarding a five-year contract with CATL for lithium iron phosphate (LFP) materials signifies a strong long-term confidence in LFP technology from leading battery manufacturers [2][4] - The overall trend in the industry shows a growing preference for LFP batteries, with major automakers like Volkswagen and BMW incorporating LFP batteries into their product plans [3][6] Group 1: Industry Developments - Wanrun New Energy is set to supply approximately 1.32 million tons of LFP materials to CATL from May 2025 to 2030, marking the largest single procurement agreement in the LFP sector to date [2][4] - Multiple raw material companies are entering into significant supply agreements with battery suppliers, indicating a robust collaborative ecosystem within the LFP supply chain [3][6] - The demand for LFP batteries is being driven by the increasing penetration of electric vehicles (EVs) and a resurgence in energy storage needs, leading to a surge in orders across the supply chain [6][8] Group 2: Market Trends - The market share of LFP batteries has been steadily increasing, surpassing that of ternary lithium batteries since 2021, with LFP batteries accounting for 74.6% of total installations in 2024 [7][9] - The export volume of LFP batteries is also on the rise, with a reported 46.8 GWh exported in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 17.3% [7] - The cost advantages and technological improvements of LFP batteries are making them the preferred choice for mid-range and low-end electric vehicles, while also gaining traction in the high-end market [8][9] Group 3: Future Outlook - The introduction of new safety standards for electric vehicle batteries is expected to further boost the demand for LFP batteries, as they are perceived to offer better safety features compared to other battery types [13][15] - The anticipated growth in the overseas market for LFP batteries remains significant, with current penetration rates in regions like the US and Europe being below 30% [10][11] - The ongoing development of sodium-ion and solid-state batteries may create competitive dynamics in the battery market, but LFP batteries are expected to maintain a strong position in the near term due to their cost-effectiveness and safety [12][15]