百利好早盘分析：经济增速下调 黄金暴跌预警

Group 1: Gold Market - The World Bank's "Global Economic Outlook" indicates that U.S. tariffs and policy uncertainties will significantly pressure global economies, lowering global growth from 2.7% to 2.3% for the year, compared to 2.8% last year. U.S. growth is revised down from 2.3% to 1.4% [2] - The trade war has caused global trade to stagnate in the second half of the year, impacting supply chains, but a recession is not expected. The effects of Trump's tariff policies continue, leading to increased uncertainty and market volatility [2] - Technically, gold has been fluctuating, with a focus on resistance at $3342. A drop below $3300 could accelerate declines [2] Group 2: Oil Market - Iran's Security Council warns that any Israeli attacks on its nuclear facilities will be met with retaliation, strengthening Iran's resolve to develop nuclear weapons. U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations show progress but remain contentious, with the U.S. demanding a halt to uranium enrichment [4] - OPEC+ announced an increase in production by 411,000 barrels per day, continuing a trend for four months. However, five members are not meeting their production targets, with actual increases at 180,000 barrels per day against a planned 310,000 [4] - Geopolitical tensions are rising, contributing to higher oil prices [4] Group 3: Technical Analysis - Oil prices extended gains, reaching a high of $66.25, with a quick pullback observed. Support is noted at $64.40, and a drop below this level could lead to further declines towards $63.60 [6] - Copper prices are experiencing a tight range after volatile trading, with support at $4.77 and resistance at $4.90. A break below support could accelerate declines, while a breakout above resistance could lead to further bullish momentum [8] Group 4: Nikkei 225 - The Nikkei 225 index has broken through resistance at 37800 and is in a bullish trend, recently touching 38400 before a quick pullback. The upward trend is expected to continue, with resistance at 38700 [9]