Group 1: Soybean Meal Market - The soybean meal market is experiencing a supply surplus, leading to a downward price trend in 2024 due to weak demand and stable domestic supply [3] - The tightening and loosening of customs inspection times for imported soybeans, along with renewed U.S.-China tariff issues, have caused fluctuations in supply and demand [3] - The forecast for soybean imports shows a gradual decrease in arrival volumes, with expectations of 9.5 million tons in July and 8.5 million tons in August, indicating a neutral to bearish impact on prices [3] Group 2: Corn Market - Corn prices have recently rebounded, with the main futures contract reaching 2,382 yuan/ton, reflecting a maximum increase of 3.5% over the past month [1] - The overall trend for corn prices has been characterized by a narrow rebound followed by a decline, with supply tightening due to farmers' reluctance to sell at lower prices [1][2] - Despite expectations of reduced demand, there remains a fundamental support for corn prices due to ongoing needs in the market, suggesting potential for further price increases in June and July [2]
饲料原料价格止跌翻涨 养殖成本再度面临上调