Will AI-Driven Custom Silicon Drive MRVL's Q2 Revenues Beyond $2B?

Core Insights - Marvell Technology (MRVL) reported approximately $1.9 billion in revenues for Q1 fiscal 2026, marking a 63% year-over-year increase, primarily driven by growth in the Data Center market [1] - The company forecasts Q2 revenues to reach $2.0 billion (+/- 5%), indicating a potential 57.4% year-over-year growth and a 5.5% sequential increase [1][10] - The growth is largely attributed to demand for AI-driven custom silicon, which has become the largest component of Marvell's data center revenues [2][10] Revenue Growth - The Data Center end market experienced a robust 76% year-over-year revenue growth in Q1, significantly contributing to Marvell's overall performance [3] - Custom AI silicon chips, including custom AI XPUs and electro-optics solutions, are key drivers of this growth [3] Investment and Strategy - Marvell is heavily investing in custom silicon programs to scale production rapidly, including the introduction of a 2.5D advanced packaging platform [4] - The company aims to strengthen its portfolio of custom application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) to maintain a competitive edge in the custom AI silicon space [4] Competitive Landscape - Competitors like Broadcom reported $4.4 billion in AI-related semiconductor revenues, showing a 46% year-over-year growth, while Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) reported $3.7 billion in Data Center revenues, up 57% year-over-year [6][7] Valuation and Estimates - Marvell Technology's shares have decreased by 37.5% year-to-date, contrasting with the Electronics - Semiconductors industry's growth of 3.4% [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 6.8X, which is lower than the industry average of 7.96X [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Marvell's fiscal 2026 and 2027 earnings implies year-over-year growth of 77.07% and 28.06%, respectively, with upward revisions in the past 30 days [14]