市场担忧AI资本开支下滑之际，摩根大通大幅上调数据中心资本开支增长预测，认为市场严重低估了AI相关股票的盈利潜力。 据追风交易台，摩根大通北美股票研究团队在最新报告中表示，大型科技公司的军备竞赛不仅没有放缓，反而在加速。 根据报告，2026年数据中心资本开支增速预计将超过50%，较此前30%的预期大幅提升。这意味着明年将新增超过1500亿美元的增量支出，基本覆盖 英伟达、AMD、博通和Marvell等核心AI芯片厂商的预期营收。 更重要的是，由于AI算力供给持续严重滞后于需求，摩根大通认为实际增速可能达到60%以上，这将为AI基础设施相关公司带来超预期的业绩增长 机会，当前市场对AI产业链核心标的的盈利预期仍然过于保守。 资本开支预测大幅上调：2026年将迎爆发式增长 摩根大通IT硬件团队的最新分析显示，2025年数据中心支出增速已从数月前预测的55%大幅上调至约65%。这一调整背后的驱动力是超大规模云服 务商持续加码AI基础设施建设，而根本原因是可用AI算力供给仍远远无法满足市场需求。 从绝对金额来看，2025年相比2024年的增量支出将超过1150亿美元，这一数字显著高于2024年750-800亿美元的同 ...

Just when you thought the innovation ecosystem was absorbing bubble fears associated with artificial intelligence, the anxieties have come roaring back, taking down sector giants like Marvell Technology Inc (NASDAQ:MRVL) . From the start of September to the beginning of December, MRVL stock went on a remarkable run, gaining approximately 41%. Unfortunately, since the close of Dec. 3, MRVL has dropped by around 18%.What happened? To stay consistent with my prior analyses, no one truly knows the formulation o ...

Key Points Marvell Technology is one of the most undervalued AI stocks right now, and it's down by 25% this year. A sale and acquisition have positioned the company to become a long-term winner in the AI data center boom. A questionable rumor still weighs heavily on the stock despite Marvell Technology's CEO rebuking it. 10 stocks we like better than Marvell Technology › If you want to find undervalued artificial intelligence (AI) stocks, you have to start with ones that aren't receiving as much ...

Whales with a lot of money to spend have taken a noticeably bearish stance on Marvell Tech.Looking at options history for Marvell Tech (NASDAQ:MRVL) we detected 41 trades.If we consider the specifics of each trade, it is accurate to state that 29% of the investors opened trades with bullish expectations and 56% with bearish.From the overall spotted trades, 20 are puts, for a total amount of $4,848,818 and 21, calls, for a total amount of $1,154,276.Predicted Price RangeAnalyzing the Volume and Open Interest ...

Key Takeaways MRVL launched the Golden Cable initiative to speed adoption of AEC for AI data centers.MRVL gains from traction in scale-up switches, 1.6T connectivity and next-gen 200G per lane DSPs.MRVL posted 37.8% YoY growth in data center revenues in Q3.Marvell Technology (MRVL) is transforming itself into a key contributor to the connectivity hardware solutions for AI infrastructure and data centers. The company recently launched the Golden Cable initiative to accelerate and expand the Active Electrical ...

Core Viewpoint - The global Ethernet switch integrated circuit market is projected to grow from $4.86 billion in 2024 to $8.37 billion by 2031, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.26%, driven by the demand for higher-speed Ethernet and advancements in cloud computing, AI, and digital transformation [2][13]. Market Growth and Trends - The market is experiencing a significant shift towards higher-speed categories, particularly from 25G/100G to 200G/400G and even 800G switch architectures, reshaping revenue distribution and competitive dynamics [2][11]. - The revenue share of ≤ 25G chips is expected to decline from 25.63% in 2020 to approximately 9.34% by 2031, indicating a trend towards commoditization and integration into lower-end enterprise and industrial network devices [7][9]. - The 100G-400G segment remains a key revenue contributor, with its market share slightly decreasing from 47.31% in 2020 to 41.49% in 2024, while still experiencing revenue growth [8][11]. Competitive Landscape - Broadcom is the undisputed global leader with a market share of 54.59% in 2024, followed by Marvell at 12.95% and Cisco at 9.60%, which is expected to decline to 5.96% by 2030 due to a shift towards commercial chip adoption [4][9]. - The market is highly concentrated, with Broadcom and Marvell positioned as long-term winners due to their ability to invest heavily in R&D and innovation [11][13]. Product Type Evolution - The market is transitioning from traditional ≤ 25G and 25G-100G categories to higher-speed 100G-400G and 400G+ segments, driven by the expansion of cloud service providers and AI data centers [7][8]. - The 400G+ segment is the fastest-growing, expected to increase from $55 million in 2020 to $921 million in 2024, and projected to reach $3.24 billion by 2030, accounting for over 40% of total market revenue [8][11]. Application Trends - Commercial Ethernet switch integrated circuit solutions dominate the market, contributing 86.92% of total revenue in 2024, with expectations to exceed 92% by 2031, reflecting a trend of outsourcing hardware innovation to specialized semiconductor suppliers [9][11]. - The share of in-house developed integrated circuits is declining, from 18.37% in 2020 to an anticipated drop below 8% by 2031, due to the increasing complexity and costs associated with developing advanced switching chips [9][11]. Regional Insights - The Asia-Pacific region is the largest consumer market for Ethernet switch integrated circuits, driven by rapid cloud computing expansion in China, enterprise upgrades in Japan, and digital infrastructure development in India [11][13]. - North America remains at the technological forefront, primarily due to major cloud operators like Amazon, Google, Microsoft, and Meta adopting 400G/800G switch architectures [11][13].

On Dec. 5, The Information reported that Microsoft is considering Broadcom (AVGO) as a possible chip design partner. The potential deal would focus on a custom AI accelerator optimized for large language models and data center inference, the report said. Any such deal would be a setback for Marvell, which currently co-designs Microsoft’s Maia line of ASICs that are custom-built for Azure.Marvell Technology shares came under heavy pressure last week, dropping more than 15% after two separate reports—one from ...

Looking ahead, Marvell expects high single-digit sequential growth in Q4 and around 20% YoY growth, with acceleration from both custom silicon and interconnect products. Along with the third quarter results, Marvell’s also announced its bold acquisition of Celestial AI, which marks the next step in data center innovation. Celestial AI is a photonic fabric platform developed for next-generation multi-rack scale-up AI systems, which is where the industry is rapidly heading. The company believes this acquisiti ...

Core Insights - Vietnam is emerging as a potential hub for semiconductor design, driven by the growth of artificial intelligence and supply chain restructuring, according to Marvell, a major player in the semiconductor industry [2] - The country has historically been limited to assembly and testing in the chip industry, but recent investments from various companies are shifting this focus towards chip substrates, software, and integrated circuits [2][3] - Marvell's expansion in Vietnam is supported by a strong local talent pool in STEM fields, which is crucial for integrated circuit design [2][4] Group 1: Investment and Growth Opportunities - Marvell has set ambitious growth targets in Vietnam, with employee numbers expected to reach 800 by 2027, surpassing the initial goal of 500 by 2026 [2] - The Vietnamese government is encouraging the establishment of a "small high-tech" wafer factory, which could produce basic silicon chips for household appliances, requiring a more modest investment of $1 billion [4] - Marvell aims to capture 20% of the custom chip market, currently dominated by Broadcom, with 73% of its revenue coming from clients like Amazon benefiting from AI-driven demand [4] Group 2: Challenges and Limitations - Vietnam faces significant challenges, including restrictions on certain chip exports imposed by the U.S. to prevent technology from reaching China, which complicates operations for companies like Marvell [3] - The country also suffers from shortages in energy and training, which hinder its ability to compete with wealthier nations like India and Malaysia in the semiconductor sector [3] - Despite these obstacles, Marvell believes there is still room for growth in Vietnam, particularly due to the country's lower wage costs compared to the U.S. [3][4]

Core Viewpoint - Marvell Technology has shown signs of improvement in its narrative and execution, leading to a positive shift in investor perception despite ongoing challenges with major customers like Microsoft and Amazon [2][4][11]. Financial Performance - Marvell exceeded Wall Street expectations with its recent earnings guidance, resulting in a significant post-earnings stock surge [3][4][11]. - The stock initially fell after earnings but later surged by as much as 14% before closing down from that peak [5][6][9]. Strategic Moves - The acquisition of Celestial AI is viewed as a strategic move to enhance Marvell's technical capabilities, particularly in high-growth sectors like AI and data infrastructure [3][12]. - Marvell's focus on custom accelerators and interconnects positions it well within the rapidly growing tech landscape, despite being smaller than competitors like Broadcom [10][11]. Market Position and Challenges - Marvell has historically struggled with execution and narrative challenges compared to larger rivals, but recent developments indicate a potential turnaround [6][13]. - Concerns remain about the potential loss of major XPU projects from key customers, but the company’s broader interconnect opportunities are expected to mitigate these risks [2][4][11].