CEG Stock Rises 30.1% YTD: What's the Best Investment Strategy?

Core Viewpoint - Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) has experienced a 30.1% increase in share price year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Alternate Energy – Other industry's growth of 17.2%, driven by strong nuclear operations and the growing demand for clean energy [1][9]. Group 1: Company Performance - CEG's primary power production is derived from its nuclear fleet, which is well-positioned regarding nuclear fuel supply, supported by long-term uranium contracts extending into the 2030s [4]. - The company accounts for approximately 10% of the nation's total clean energy production and has a nuclear fleet capacity factor of 94.1% in Q1 2025, up from 93.3% in the previous year [5][9]. - CEG's capital expenditures are projected to be nearly $3 billion and $3.5 billion for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with about 35% allocated for nuclear fuel acquisition [6]. Group 2: Strategic Developments - CEG has entered into a 20-year nuclear power purchase agreement with Meta, set to begin in 2027, which supports the relicensing of its Clinton nuclear facility [10]. - The Public Utility Commission of Texas approved CEG's acquisition of Calpine Corporation, enhancing its clean energy capabilities by merging Calpine's low-emission assets with CEG's nuclear fleet [11]. Group 3: Financial Metrics - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CEG's earnings per share (EPS) indicates a growth of 0.43% for 2025 and 3.5% for 2026 [12]. - CEG has reported an average earnings surprise of 7.41% over the last four quarters, indicating consistent performance [14]. - The company's trailing 12-month return on equity stands at 21.93%, significantly higher than the industry average of 8.35% [19]. Group 4: Shareholder Returns - CEG has authorized a share repurchase program of up to $3 billion, with approximately $841 million remaining as of March 31, 2025 [17]. - The company aims to increase its quarterly dividend by 10% annually, subject to board approval [18].