Market Overview - US stock market declined on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 ending a three-day rally, which may put pressure on A-shares at the opening [2] - The China Golden Dragon Index rose by 0.08%, indicating a positive performance for Chinese concept stocks [2] Technical Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3402.32 points, maintaining above the 3400 mark, but trading volume decreased to 1.26 trillion, down 160 billion from the previous day, suggesting weak buying interest [2] - If trading volume remains low, the index may test the 3380 point support level [2] - The ChiNext Index increased by 1.21%, but the new energy sector lagged, with Ningde Times affecting overall sentiment [2] - The brokerage sector saw a net inflow of 3.7 billion, indicating potential upward movement if major brokers like CITIC Securities and Oriental Fortune show strong early performance [2] Policy Directions - Three key policy directions identified: 1. US-China trade talks focusing on rare earth and semiconductor equipment exports, with China issuing temporary export licenses for rare earth materials to three major US automakers [3] 2. Hydrogen energy pilot projects, with the National Energy Administration outlining directions for green hydrogen production and zero-carbon parks, potentially benefiting equipment manufacturers like Hupu Co. and Xue Ren Co. [3] 3. Local special bonds issuance, with 180 billion issued in the first two weeks of June, likely stabilizing infrastructure stocks like China Communications Construction and China Railway Construction [3] Sector Rotation - Focus on whether technology and brokerage sectors can resonate positively in early trading [3] - The AI computing industry chain may see funding inflows due to the upcoming delivery of Nvidia's Blackwell chips [3] - Defensive sectors like Yangtze Power, with a dividend yield over 5%, and Hu Nong Commercial Bank, known for low valuation and high dividends, are suitable for risk-averse investments [3] Investment Strategy - Key focus on trading volume; if the first hour's trading volume exceeds 380 billion, the index may approach 3417 points; if it falls below 1.2 trillion, consider reducing positions to avoid potential pullbacks [4] - Long-term investors should consider semiconductor equipment, AI computing, and consumer electronics, which are at historical low valuations and have multiple policy catalysts [4] - Short-term traders should monitor hydrogen energy pilot projects and urban renewal themes, paying attention to the strength of leading stocks [4]
帮主郑重:6月12日A股策略,这三个方向藏机会!
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-06-12 01:27