贵金属集体爆发！铂金年涨超40％创4年新高，白银破36美元刷新13年纪录

Core Viewpoint - Recent surges in platinum and silver prices have captured market attention, driven by a combination of technical factors, supply-demand dynamics, and heightened global risk aversion [3][4][8]. Platinum Market Summary - Year-to-date, spot platinum has seen a cumulative increase of 40.14%, with a notable rise of 22.78% from May 15 to June 11 [3][8]. - On June 11, platinum prices reached $1285.58 per ounce, marking a four-year high, influenced by speculative investments and a shift in market dynamics [3][8]. - The current market is characterized by a "gold-silver-platinum" rally, driven by increased global risk aversion and geopolitical tensions [3][8]. - Analysts predict a structural supply shortage in platinum, with a projected shortfall of 96,600 ounces by 2025, as supply struggles to keep pace with demand [8][9]. Silver Market Summary - Silver prices have also surged, with a cumulative increase of over 9% recently, surpassing $36 per ounce for the first time since February 2012 [4][5]. - The rise in silver prices is attributed to increased demand from the photovoltaic industry, with global solar installations expected to exceed 600 GW in 2024 [5][7]. - The silver market is facing a widening supply-demand gap, with projected global silver supply growth at only 1.2% from 2024 to 2027, while demand is expected to grow at 2.9% during the same period [7][9]. - The current gold-silver ratio remains high, indicating potential for further silver price appreciation as the market corrects [7][9]. Investment Dynamics - The platinum market is transitioning towards a strategic resource, with a notable shift in investment logic due to supply constraints and the rise of hydrogen energy applications [8][11]. - Short-term pressures may arise from inventory releases and declining demand from high-net-worth individuals, but long-term drivers are expected to support price increases [10][11]. - The silver market is also experiencing a dual demand dynamic, with both industrial and investment needs contributing to price support amid macroeconomic fluctuations [5][9].